Generic selectors
Exact matches only
Search in title
Search in content
Post Type Selectors
Filter by Categories
Asset Allocation
Data update
Development News
Downstream
Equity markets
Exploration News
Features
Finance/M&A
News & Views
products
Raw Materials
Sponsored
The Drill Bit
The Future
Trade & Demand
Uncategorised

Blog

What Ford didn’t say as important as what it DID on raw materials

Avatar photo   By: Matt Fernley

Posted on - 25 May 2023

Itโ€™s Fordโ€™s lithium deals that have generated most of the column inches this week in battery raw materials circles and, while we have opinions on those, we also note that it was what was left unsaid in Fordโ€™s presentations that concerned us most.

Most notably insofar as there were no mentions of offtakes for anode materials, high purity manganese and lithium iron phosphate, all of which are key components of the EV batteries that Ford has said it intends to use ex-China, and all of which are set to experience significant supply/demand imbalances.

But that is by the by. Another area of concern for us was Fordโ€™s comments (or lack of them) on nickel.

Buried away on p82 of the presentation was a slide on nickel. In the slide, Ford noted that it planned to save US$5.50/kg on nickel sulphate for EVs, which would generate a saving of c.US$200m at 45GWh of capacity. Ford was presumably referring to the agreement itโ€™s made to JV with Vale and Huayou Cobalt to develop a nickel laterite project in Indonesia.

I donโ€™t disagree with any of the economics described in the slide, but itโ€™s what was not disclosed in the slide that I have a problem with. Notably that nickel production from laterite ores using the HPAL process is nearly FOUR TIMES more CO2-intensive than producing nickel using the traditional route of processing from sulphide ores.

So yes, Ford generates US$200m of savings, but at what cost? Well, the GHG emission cost is pretty clear โ€“ itโ€™s an additional c.700,000 tonnes of CO2 per year.

Whatโ€™s annoying about this is itโ€™s not like there arenโ€™t a plethora of sulphide-based nickel projects out there. Indeed there are a large number of sulphide projects seeking funding in North America; in the US itself and in Canada. There are even companies trying to develop projects to process laterites without using HPAL. General Motors has invested in one of these. We discussed the ESG approaches of OEMs in more detail in our Yearbook.

Ford is by no means the only Western World OEM guilty of going down the laterite route when the sulphide route is available and is more ESG friendly (Volkswagen is another notable one), and itโ€™s also certainly not the only one that hasnโ€™t properly outlined the environmental implications of its choice of processing routes either.

But with Ford and Volkswagen choosing a much more carbon-intensive source of nickel, and many Chinese carmakers happy with the NPI/matte route which is an order of magnitude more carbon-intensive than even the HPAL route, we do wonder how automakers think about ESG? Because it doesnโ€™t seem to be the same way we think about ESGโ€ฆ

Matt Fernley is Head of Research for Westbeck Capital’s Volta Fund and Editor of Battery Materials Review.


Topics

Anode Materials Carbon-intensity Cathode CO2 ESG Ford General Motors Graphite HPAL Lithium Manganese Nickel OEMs Volkswagen